Hillary Clinton signals in any way she might run for president in 2024
Basic
6
Ṁ125Jun 23
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If she says she's "considering it" or "forming an exploratory committee", that counts.
If "aids close to her" say "it's a possibility", that counts.
If she says she "hasn't ruled it out", that counts.
If she announces her candidacy obviously that counts.
If she's asked about it and she's evasive and doesn't really say anything, that doesn't count.
#USA
#Politics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Just saw this in the Wall Street Journal:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-2024-comeback-president-biden-harris-democrat-nominee-race-2022-midterm-loss-11641914951?mod=e2two
No statement from Clinton herself just yet
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election?
36% chance
Will AOC run for President by 2040?
64% chance
Will the USA have a female president in 2022?
12% chance
Will Bernie Sanders seek the Democratic Party's nomination for president in 2024?
59% chance
Jen Psaki Will Win the 2024 United States Presidential Election
44% chance
Tulsi Gabbard Will Win the 2024 United States Presidential Election
5% chance
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
49% chance
Nancy Pelosi announces retirement plans in 2022
63% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
39% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
43