Will the Turkmenistanian "Gates of Hell" fire be extinguished before 2023?
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President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov recently called for the Darvaza gas crater, colloquially known as the "Gates of Hell", to be put out. This has been attempted before, but environmental, health, and economic concerns have convinced Turkmenistan to try again. #Turkmenistan #climatechange #worldevents
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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