test
➕
Plus
0
Feb 22
50%
chance

Released = available to some portion of the public (including a subset of subscribers or a limited number of API developers from members of the public). Released only for safety testing does not count.

New model = Either announced by the company as a new model, is clear from numbering/naming it is a distinct model, or able to be selected from some sort of menu as a distinct model. Something like "o1 extra mini" would count as while it is part of o1 it can be considered a distinct model in this market.

Must be publically released for the first time between February 1st 00:00am PST and February 28th 11:59pm PST. If it is announced but not yet released to any members of the public it will not count.

For answers where no specific model type is specified alongside the company, then any type of generative AI model will cause it to resolve yes.

*OpenAI (other) refers to any model that is not their new flagship model (eg. GPT 5), o3, a video generator, or an image generator. It could be a derivative of another language model or some other type of model such as a voice generator.

**Anthropic flagship language model refers to a model comparable to claude 3.5 or gpt-4o that should outperform claude 3.5 sonnet on a majority of performance benchmarks. This should not be a reasoning model.

***Anthropic reasoning model refers to a model that is not considered their everyday task model and is akin to what OpenAI's O1 is to gpt-4o.

****Anthropic (any other) refers to any model that is not a reasoning model nor their new flagship model. For example, it could be a derivative of an existing language model or a different type of AI model entirely.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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