Trade on politics & more

The largest social prediction market.

Get real-time odds on politics, tech, and sports. Win cash prizes for your predictions!

Get

1,000

and

3.00

to start trading!

Compete with your friends by trading with play money...

Or trade with sweepcash and win real cash prizes!

🔥 Trending Topics

Basic

55%

a

50%

s

I go to work tomorrow50% chance

Will there be at least one AI that gets a H-score surpassing O3 (DR) before Eid-al Fitr 2025?50% chance

Which team will win the Coppa Italia match between Milan and Inter on April 2, 2025?50% chance

Tug of war50% chance

Will I win my league this season?50% chance

Plus

test50% chance

Sign up now!

Get

1,000

and

3.00

to start trading!

I and many of my friends visit their site daily or at least weekly, and I often link them on Mantic Mondays.

Scott Alexander

Astral Codex Ten

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules